Rising Debt Ceiling Issue Weakens Dollar Trust: A Possible Advantage for Bitcoin?

12 views 1:06 pm 0 Comments June 14, 2023

As the U.S. debt ceiling issue inches towards a resolution, Blackrock’s CEO, Laurence Fink, expresses concerns over the declining faith in the U.S. dollar, suggesting that this may create a favourable environment for Bitcoin.

Fink has asserted that the ongoing uncertainty surrounding the U.S. debt ceiling has negatively impacted global trust in the U.S. dollar. Some analysts align with this perspective, indicating that Bitcoin could potentially gain from this situation.

On May 31, the U.S. House of Representatives approved a critical bill that aims to increase the debt ceiling to $31.4 trillion. The bill is now under Senate review, with discussions expected to last several days. The U.S. Treasury has outlined a deadline of June 5 for the debt ceiling increase, warning that any delay could lead to a default on national debt.

Fink, citing a May 31 Deutsche Bank conference, anticipates at least two more interest rate increases by the Federal Reserve in the near future. He staunchly maintains that there is no substantial decrease in inflation.

Fink stated, “While I am optimistic about finding a resolution, it’s clear that the U.S. is risking its status as a reserve currency.”

A significant number of Bitcoin proponents and investors perceive Bitcoin as a safeguard against inflation and debt concerns resulting from central banks’ monetary supply expansions.

eToro market analyst Josh Gilbert, speaking to Cointelegraph, highlighted that the debt ceiling issue brings Bitcoin back into focus. Investors might turn to Bitcoin as a finite-supply safe haven, separate from the traditional financial system.

However, Gilbert advised investors to moderate their expectations of Bitcoin value surging dramatically due to current events. He pointed out that these issues and the liquidity problems they could cause are currently generating more fear than optimism.

Gilbert added, “During the banking crisis, there was a reduction in inflation and rate hike expectations, leading to a Bitcoin rally.”

Matteo Greco, a research analyst at Fineqia International, shared similar sentiments. He suggested the current downward pressure on Bitcoin’s price is mainly due to investor concerns over the U.S. reaching its debt ceiling.

Historically, when central banks hike interest rates, investors tend to withdraw their money from volatile assets such as cryptocurrencies and growth stocks. Gilbert explained, “Given Bitcoin’s decline in 2022, investors capitalized on the opportunity to buy Bitcoin during significant downturns, anticipating changes in the high-interest rate environment.”

If Fink’s prediction of further rate hikes materializes, Bitcoin’s price could drop even more. However, if the Federal Reserve halts its rate hike cycle in June, Bitcoin might experience positive price movement.

At present, Bitcoin is priced at $27,161, reflecting a 2% decrease in the last 24 hours and a 6.4% drop over the previous month, as per the Cointelegraph Price Index.