BTC’s price stands on the brink of a critical juncture as Bitcoin short-sellers signal possible expectations of a short-term trend reversal.
At the dawn of Wall Street trading on June 23, Bitcoin BTC $30,192 held steady, refraining from triggering fresh market volatility as traders speculated about its forthcoming moves.
The Elusive ‘Strong Confirmation’ of a Bitcoin Upsurge
Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView depict Bitcoin’s price gravitating around the $30,000 mark. A second day of flat trading welcomes market observers, with prior upward trends halting just shy of the annual high at $31,000.
Renowned trader, Daan Crypto Trades, suggested that this threshold could be a common invalidation point for those betting against Bitcoin following its recent price gains.
“A significant number of shorts entered during this consolidation are likely to have their stops just above that local high of approximately $30.8K,” stated one of his tweets.
The $29.8K region and the Daily Open, he pointed out, are the lines in the sand.
However, according to Maartunn, an analyst at the on-chain analytics platform CryptoQuant, these short positions may still prevail. With an observed increase in open interest on exchanges amidst stagnant price performance, Maartunn highlighted that recent “flushing” of open interest has often been followed by a sudden drop in BTC/USD.
Crypto trader, Chase, agreed that he hadn’t seen a “strong confirmation” of an imminent push to $31,000.
For Elizy, another trader, the mood remained unchanged from the previous day as consolidation persisted. Although he expressed “no intention of going short,” he also showed little interest in entries while BTC’s price oscillated within a narrow band.
The Return of the ‘Wait-and-See’ Approach
Crypto analytics firm Jarvis Labs’ latest market update echoed the ambiguous nature of the low-timeframe price action.
“I’m slightly indecisive at this point,” stated founder Ben Lilly after examining various datasets. “I’m beginning to discount the likelihood of a drop to $24k before options expiry and am leaning more towards a surge into the $32k bracket.”
Lilly referred to the approaching options expiry on June 23, valued at over $700 million. Given the substantial accumulation, he suggested that it might be unwise to anticipate the rally losing momentum prematurely.
“All this information indicates that one should not hastily dismiss this rally,” he concluded. “My initial thought was to fade because the halving seemed too distant. But a few data points suggest otherwise. Perhaps an opportunity to fade will emerge in July. For now, let’s follow the data to see if the trend persists.”